news EU watchdog proposes tough capital rules for insurers holding <b>crypto</b> - F

EU insurers held €655mn of <b>crypto</b> assets at the end of 2023, according to Eiopa, which is less than 0.01 per cent of their €9.6tn of overall assets.

https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&ur...dRv12UxuY7

News Bitcoin price prediction markets bet BTC won't go higher than $138K in 2025



<p style="float:right; margin:0 0 10px 15px; width:240px;"><img src="https://images.cointelegraph.com/images/840_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjUtMDMvMDE5NWQ2OGYtYmFkNC03M2E0LWExNmEtMmNlZmU5OGU2Yjcw.jpg"></p><p><p style="float:right; margin:0 0 10px 15px; width:240px;"><img src="https://images.cointelegraph.com/images/840_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjUtMDMvMDE5NWQ2OGYtYmFkNC03M2E0LWExNmEtMmNlZmU5OGU2Yjcw.jpg" alt="Bitcoin price prediction markets bet BTC won't go higher than $138K in 2025"></p><p>BItcoin (<a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null">BTC</a>) retains a $138,000 price target for 2025 as the market recovers from US trade tariffs, new analysis concludes.<p><a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://x.com/DotAshwin/status/1905032726861824415" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null">Data</a> covering bets on prediction service Polymarket suggests that BTC/USD could still gain around 60% from current levels this year.</p><h2>&ldquo;Conservative&rdquo; Polymarket users cap BTC price upside at 60%</h2><p>Bitcoin bull market projections have taken a beating this quarter thanks to multiple setbacks impacting crypto and the wider risk-asset spectrum.</p><p>Now, an assessment of all potential BTC price outcomes on Polymarket concludes that the bull market cycle may be capped at around 60% before 2026.</p><p>The results were uploaded to X by user Ashwin on March 27 and show that price bets extend all the way down to $59,000.</p><p>&ldquo;The great thing about this analysis is that it not only provides a market sentiment score, like the Fear and Greed Index, but also attaches to it the expected price target for both bearish and bullish scenarios,&rdquo; he explained.&nbsp;</p><blockquote>&ldquo;This offers a reference to compare one's price prediction with the market's.&rdquo;</blockquote><figure><img alt="Bitcoin price prediction markets bet BTC won't go higher than $138K in 2025" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-03/0195d689-0f51-7c5e-9849-f2a97e1eb854" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;"><p><em>BTC price targets on Polymarket. Source: Ashwin/X</em></p></figcaption></figure><p>Ashwin deconstructed the methodology used to analyze odds across multiple Polymarket arenas, resulting in a potential BTC price range between $59,040 and $138,617.</p><p>&ldquo;The $138k Bitcoin price target may not seem bullish to most Bitcoiners, who are accustomed to hearing hyperbolic valuations. However, the market remains conservative as it recovers from the Trump tariff uncertainty,&rdquo; he continued.</p><p>The modest expectations for BTC/USD mimic those elsewhere. On fellow prediction site Kalshi, one average BTC price target <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbtcmaxy/how-high-will-bitcoin-get-this-year" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null">stands at $122,000</a> &mdash; just $11,500 beyond current all-time highs.</p><figure><img alt="Bitcoin price prediction markets bet BTC won't go higher than $138K in 2025" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-03/0195d689-7e64-7af7-b355-27d09a698fd4" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;"><p><em>BTC price odds (screenshot). Source: Kalshi</em></p></figcaption></figure><h2>Bitcoin support failure remains a risk</h2><p>As Cointelegraph continues to report, market participants have drawn lines in the sand that price action should not violate in order to protect the broader bull market.</p><p><em><strong>Related: </strong></em><a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-just-ditched-3-month-downtrend-key-shift-begins" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null"><em><strong>Bitcoin price just ditched a 3-month downtrend as 'key shift' begins</strong></em></a></p><p>These include the area around old all-time highs at $73,800 and the <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/peak-fud-70k-floor-5-things-bitcoin-this-week" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null">2021 peak at $69,000</a>.</p><p>Earlier this month, a historically accurate forecasting tool, which its creator describes as showing where Bitcoin &ldquo;won&rsquo;t be&rdquo; in the future, gave a <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-metric-called-2020-bull-run-69k-new-bottom" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null">95% chance of $69,000 holding</a>.</p><p>In his latest update, popular trader Aksel Kibar stressed that the yearly average of $76,000 must stay in place.</p><p>&ldquo;Extremely important for the price not to breach the year-long average,&rdquo; he <a data-ct-non-breakable="null" href="https://x.com/TechCharts/status/1904973993905451117" rel="null" target="null" text="null" title="null">told</a> X followers on March 26.</p><figure><img alt="Bitcoin price prediction markets bet BTC won't go higher than $138K in 2025" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-03/0195d68a-4c4c-7ae0-ba30-efca717c55ad" title=""><figcaption style="text-align: center;"><p><em>BTC/USD chart. Source: Aksel Kibar/X</em></p></figcaption></figure><p class="post-content__disclaimer" type="">This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.</p><template data-name="subscription_form" data-type="markets_outlook" label="Subscription Form: Markets Outlook"></template></p>
</p>



https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-p...er_inbound

news Fidelity Digital Assets tests stablecoin, and GameStop plans to invest in bitco

Fidelity Digital Assets tests stablecoin, and GameStop plans to invest in bitcoin: CNBC <b>Crypto</b> World. On today's show, GameStop shares surge after the&nbsp;...

https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&ur...X_tS2CGITP

news Durban <b>crypto</b> fraudster sentenced to 10 years in jail, R4. 5 million ass

The proceedings stem from a plea and sentence agreement involving both Manci and his business, <b>Crypto</b> Mzansi Group (PTY) LTD. Natasha Ramkisson-Kara,&nbsp;...

https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&ur...TsrsMdGqig

news Trump's <b>crypto</b> chaos threatens the industry - Barron's

For years, <b>crypto</b> advocates have pushed for legitimacy in the U.S., fighting off regulators and lobbying for friendlier policies. When Donald Trump&nbsp;...

https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&ur...lL9YTwLXKC

news <b>Crypto</b> urges Congress to change DOJ rule used against Tornado Cash devs

A group of 34 <b>crypto</b> industry players, including Coinbase and Kraken, want Congress to push the Justice Department to change its interpretation of&nbsp;...

https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&ur...XOmbeBDsHi

news Google Play Blocks Unregistered <b>Crypto</b> Exchange Apps in South Korea

Google Play has recently removed access to several unregistered foreign cryptocurrency exchange apps in South Korea, including KuCoin and MEXC.

https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&ur...YWdDkcKW00

news Most EU banks fail to meet rising <b>crypto</b> investor demand — Survey - Co

European banks may be missing out on significant <b>crypto</b> revenue by underestimating <b>crypto</b> demand by over 30%, according to a Bitpanda survey.

https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&ur...aymwa18DQI

news <b>Crypto</b> Rules Top Paul Atkins' SEC Agenda Ahead of Committee Hearing

Paul Atkins, the Trump administration's pick to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission, said regulation of <b>crypto</b> will be a top priority if&nbsp;...

https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&ur...J2jJLUe4Vz

news Congress Approves $4 Billion Giveaway To <b>Crypto</b> Industry | HuffPost Late

Lawmakers killed a <b>crypto</b> tax reporting rule with great bipartisan gusto.

https://www.google.com/url?rct=j&sa=t&ur...KodJds_NNf